{"id":8345,"date":"2015-02-23T19:00:43","date_gmt":"2015-02-23T15:00:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/kultur.az\/?p=8345"},"modified":"2015-02-23T19:00:43","modified_gmt":"2015-02-23T15:00:43","slug":"gunel-eyvazli-xosb%c9%99xtliyin-imitasiyasi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kultur.az\/?p=8345","title":{"rendered":"G\u00fcnel Eyvazl\u0131: Xo\u015fb\u0259xtliyin imitasiyas\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"G\u00fcnel<\/a><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong>Kursun d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259si siyas\u0259t\u00e7il\u0259r \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn g\u00f6z\u0259l. \u0130qtisadiyyat \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn b\u00f6y\u00fck z\u0259rb\u0259dir<\/strong><\/p>\n

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Ay\u0131n \u0259vv\u0259lind\u0259 “Gallup International\/WIN” M\u00fcst\u0259qil T\u0259dqiqat Agentlikl\u0259ri Assosiasiyas\u0131n\u0131n apard\u0131\u011f\u0131 sor\u011funun\u00a0n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan xo\u015fb\u0259xt \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259r s\u0131ras\u0131nda 4-c\u00fc yerd\u0259 q\u0259rarla\u015fm\u0131\u015fd\u0131. \u018fc\u0259ba \u0259g\u0259r bu sor\u011fu indi apar\u0131lsayd\u0131, hans\u0131 n\u0259tic\u0259 g\u00f6z\u0259 d\u0259y\u0259c\u0259kdi?<\/p>\n

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Bug\u00fcnl\u0259rd\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan mediyas\u0131 manat\u0131n z\u0259ifl\u0259m\u0259sind\u0259n s\u00f6z a\u00e7\u0131r. Man\u015fetl\u0259ri bu x\u0259b\u0259r b\u0259z\u0259yir. Sosial \u015f\u0259b\u0259k\u0259l\u0259r yaln\u0131z v\u0259 yaln\u0131z bu haqda dan\u0131\u015f\u0131r. \u0130qtisadiyyat\u00e7\u0131 olmasam da, bilgil\u0259rimi az da olsa, i\u015f\u0259 salmaq fikrin\u0259 g\u0259ldim.<\/p>\n

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\u0130nfilyasiyadan he\u00e7 bir d\u00f6vl\u0259t s\u0131\u011fortalanmay\u0131b. H\u0259r halda, d\u00fcnya bazar\u0131n\u0131 idar\u0259 ed\u0259n b\u00f6y\u00fck abimizin y\u00fcng\u00fclvari qula\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 burmas\u0131 v\u0259 \u00f6nc\u0259d\u0259n Rusiyaya barmaq silk\u0259l\u0259m\u0259si haradasa h\u0259y\u0259can siqnal\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u0259m\u0259liydi. \u00c7ox g\u00fcman ki, bundan Bank r\u0259smil\u0259rinin x\u0259b\u0259ri var idi. Y\u00fck alt\u0131nda yen\u0259 d\u0259 qara camaat qalacaq. \u018fli cibind\u0259 olan varl\u0131lar v\u0259 bazar\u0131 idar\u0259 ed\u0259nl\u0259r z\u0259rr\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r d\u0259 olsun z\u0259r\u0259r \u00e7\u0259km\u0259y\u0259c\u0259kl\u0259r. H\u0259r halda, s\u00fcni qiym\u0259t art\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n olmas\u0131 x\u0259b\u0259ri bo\u015f s\u00f6zl\u0259rd\u0259n ba\u015fqa bir \u015fey deyil. Qiym\u0259t art\u0131m\u0131na art\u0131q 21 fevral tarixind\u0259n start verildi v\u0259 m\u0259nim cibl\u0259rim bu g\u00fcn bunu \u0259yani olaraq hiss etdi.<\/p>\n

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T\u0259hlil\u0259 ke\u00e7s\u0259k, g\u00f6r\u0259rik ki, hal-haz\u0131rda dollar\u0131n d\u00fcnya bazar\u0131nda dig\u0259r valyutalara nisb\u0259t\u0259n m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259si daha y\u00fcks\u0259kd\u0259 dayan\u0131r. Dollar\u0131n d\u00fcnya bazar\u0131nda m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259sinin qalxmas\u0131 is\u0259 neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259rinin k\u0259skin ucuzla\u015fmas\u0131na s\u0259b\u0259b olur. M\u0259hz b\u0259zi m\u0259hsullar \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn dollar\u0131n m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259sinin b\u00f6y\u00fck \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259ti var. Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n b\u00fcdc\u0259sinin neft v\u0259 neft m\u0259hsullar\u0131ndan as\u0131l\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 son m\u0259nz\u0259r\u0259nin yaranmas\u0131na s\u0259b\u0259b oldu. Bu s\u0259b\u0259bd\u0259n d\u0259 manat\u0131n m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259d\u0259n d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259si, inflyasiya g\u00f6zl\u0259nil\u0259n idi. Bu is\u0259 n\u0259tic\u0259 etibaril\u0259 \u00f6lk\u0259 daxilind\u0259 qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin bahala\u015fmas\u0131na g\u0259tirib \u00e7\u0131xaracaq. Tezl\u0259\u015fmi\u015f v\u0259 xo\u015fag\u0259lm\u0259z s\u00fcrpriz adland\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u00a0 inflyasiya daima azt\u0259minatl\u0131 v\u0259 b\u00fcdc\u0259d\u0259n maliyy\u0259l\u0259\u015f\u0259n insanlar\u0131n cibl\u0259rin\u0259 ziyan vurur.\u00a0 \u00c7\u00fcnki onlar qida m\u0259hsullar\u0131na daha \u00e7ox pul x\u0259rcl\u0259yirl\u0259r.<\/p>\n

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Kursun d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259si siyas\u0259t\u00e7il\u0259r \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn g\u00f6z\u0259l. \u0130qtisadiyyat \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn b\u00f6y\u00fck z\u0259rb\u0259dir<\/strong><\/p>\n

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Manat\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259si haradasa pozitiv effekt yarad\u0131r. \u00c7\u00fcnki d\u00f6vl\u0259tin ba\u015fl\u0131ca g\u0259liri xammaldand\u0131r. Alq\u0131-satq\u0131 is\u0259 dollarla apar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, manata \u00e7evrildikd\u0259 k\u00fctl\u0259vi g\u0259lirin g\u0259lm\u0259sin\u0259 s\u0259b\u0259b olur. Bu b\u00fcdc\u0259d\u0259 yaranm\u0131\u015f bo\u015flu\u011fun aradan qald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131na v\u0259 d\u00f6vl\u0259tin qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda olan v\u0259zif\u0259sini dolay\u0131 yolla yerin\u0259 yetirilm\u0259sin\u0259 k\u00f6m\u0259k edir. Amma bu q\u0131sam\u00fcdd\u0259tli sevincdir. \u00c7\u00fcnki inflyasiyan\u0131n g\u00fccl\u0259nm\u0259si iqtisadiyyat\u0131 iflic hala g\u0259tirir.<\/p>\n

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Misal olaraq qeyd edim ki, Nigeriya b\u00f6y\u00fck neft ixracat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 olan Afrika d\u00f6vl\u0259tidir. Yax\u015f\u0131 g\u0259lir n\u0259tic\u0259sind\u0259 nayr\u0131n\u0131n kursu \u00e7ox y\u00fcks\u0259kd\u0259 idi. Kef hal\u0131nda, p\u0259h-p\u0259hl\u0259 ya\u015fayan nigeriyal\u0131lar ist\u0259dikl\u0259ri m\u0259hsulu \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259 import edirdil\u0259r. Z\u0259ngin nigeriyal\u0131lar y\u00fcks\u0259k kurslu nayra vasit\u0259sil\u0259 \u00e7emodanlarla dollar\u0131 \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259 g\u0259tirir v\u0259 z\u0259ngin h\u0259yatlar\u0131na davam edirdil\u0259r.\u00a0 Nigeriyan\u0131n M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank\u0131 is\u0259 milli valyutalar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fcks\u0259k m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259d\u0259 saxlamaqda q\u0259rarl\u0131 idi. N\u0259tic\u0259d\u0259, Nigeriyan\u0131n pullar\u0131 yaranm\u0131\u015f d\u0259lik vasit\u0259sil\u0259 getm\u0259y\u0259, d\u00f6vl\u0259t is\u0259 xalq qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda pis v\u0259ziyy\u0259td\u0259 qalma\u011fa ba\u015flad\u0131. Varl\u0131lar is\u0259 \u00f6lk\u0259 xaricind\u0259 al\u0131nan imar\u0259tl\u0259rl\u0259 f\u0259xr ed\u0259 bil\u0259rdil\u0259r.<\/p>\n

Dem\u0259k ki, manat da y\u00fcks\u0259k m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259d\u0259 \u00e7ox qalmamal\u0131yd\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnki bu t\u0259qdird\u0259 yerli bazarlar xaricd\u0259n istehsal olunmu\u015f mallar vasit\u0259sil\u0259 dolma\u011fa ba\u015flay\u0131r. Bel\u0259 anlarda manat\u0131 nisb\u0259t\u0259n m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259d\u0259n salma\u011fa v\u0259 importu azaltma\u011fa, yerli m\u0259hsullar\u0131 stimulla\u015fd\u0131rma\u011fa ehtiyac var idi. H\u0259m d\u0259 xarici valyuta h\u00fccumlar\u0131n\u0131n qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda s\u0259dd \u00e7\u0259kilm\u0259lisi vacib idi.<\/p>\n

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\u0130nflyasiya d\u00f6vl\u0259tin iqtisadi g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00fczg\u00fcd\u00fcr. \u018fg\u0259r iqtisadiyyat pafosla t\u0259rifl\u0259nibs\u0259, \u0259slind\u0259 is\u0259 el\u0259 d\u0259 g\u00fccl\u00fc deyils\u0259, dem\u0259k ki, m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259 s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259kd\u0259 davam ed\u0259c\u0259k. \u018fg\u0259r g\u00fccl\u00fcd\u00fcrs\u0259, valyuta tezlikl\u0259 \u00f6z\u00fcnd\u0259 g\u00fcc taparaq m\u00f6hk\u0259ml\u0259n\u0259c\u0259k.<\/p>\n

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H\u0259r halda ist\u0259nil\u0259n situasiyada ikiy\u0259 b\u00f6l\u00fcn\u0259n c\u0259bh\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259n pessimistl\u0259rin deyil, optimistl\u0259rin s\u0131ras\u0131nda olmaq g\u0259r\u0259kir. \u0130nanaq ki, iqtisadiyyat\u0131m\u0131z ayaqlar\u0131 \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 qalma\u011f\u0131 v\u0259 manat\u0131 t\u0259nziml\u0259m\u0259yi bacaracaq.<\/p>\n

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P.S. \u0130nanaq ki, Bak\u0131, Avropa Oyunlar\u0131 qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda ba\u015f\u0131a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259k. H\u0259m d\u0259 “Gallup International\/WIN”in p\u0259h-p\u0259hl\u0259 ke\u00e7irdiyi sor\u011funun n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259rini he\u00e7\u0259 vura bilm\u0259rik. Ona g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn q\u0259d\u0259r xo\u015fb\u0259xt olun, c\u0259nablar. G\u00fcl\u00fcms\u0259yin.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

G\u00fcnel Eyvazl\u0131 -\u015fair\u0259-yazar (x\u00fcsusi olaraq Birlik.az sayt\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn)<\/strong><\/p>\n

Yaz\u0131ya 638 d\u0259f\u0259 bax\u0131l\u0131b<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u00a0Kursun d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259si siyas\u0259t\u00e7il\u0259r \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn g\u00f6z\u0259l. \u0130qtisadiyyat \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn b\u00f6y\u00fck z\u0259rb\u0259dir Ay\u0131n \u0259vv\u0259lind\u0259 “Gallup International\/WIN” M\u00fcst\u0259qil T\u0259dqiqat Agentlikl\u0259ri Assosiasiyas\u0131n\u0131n apard\u0131\u011f\u0131 sor\u011funun\u00a0n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan xo\u015fb\u0259xt \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259r s\u0131ras\u0131nda 4-c\u00fc yerd\u0259 q\u0259rarla\u015fm\u0131\u015fd\u0131. \u018fc\u0259ba \u0259g\u0259r bu sor\u011fu indi apar\u0131lsayd\u0131, hans\u0131 n\u0259tic\u0259 g\u00f6z\u0259 d\u0259y\u0259c\u0259kdi? Bug\u00fcnl\u0259rd\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan mediyas\u0131 manat\u0131n z\u0259ifl\u0259m\u0259sind\u0259n s\u00f6z a\u00e7\u0131r. Man\u015fetl\u0259ri bu x\u0259b\u0259r b\u0259z\u0259yir. Sosial \u015f\u0259b\u0259k\u0259l\u0259r yaln\u0131z v\u0259 yaln\u0131z bu haqda […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kultur.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8345"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kultur.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kultur.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kultur.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kultur.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8345"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kultur.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8345\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8346,"href":"https:\/\/kultur.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8345\/revisions\/8346"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kultur.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8345"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kultur.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8345"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kultur.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8345"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}